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Next Race 10:28 PUKEKOHE - R1 - SISTEMA HANDICAP (60)Next Race 11:03 PUKEKOHE - R2 - DUNSTAN HORSEFEEDS HANDICAP (60)Next Race 11:38 PUKEKOHE - R3 - ENTAIN/NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES MDNNext Race 12:13 PUKEKOHE - R4 - RICH HILL STUD MAIDENNext Race 12:40 FLEMINGTON - R1 - TCL TROPHY (BM70)Next Race 12:48 PUKEKOHE - R5 - NZB READY TO RUN SALE 20 & 21 NOV MDNNext Race 13:00 HAWKESBURY - R1 - PERFORMANCE ACCESS RESOURCES SUPER MDN PLATENext Race 13:15 FLEMINGTON - R2 - RACING AND SPORTS CENTURY STAKES (LR)Next Race 13:23 PUKEKOHE - R6 - TAB MAIDENNext Race 13:30 GAWLER - R1 - LJ HOOKER PROPERTY SPECIALISTS MDN PLATENext Race 13:35 HAWKESBURY - R2 - FOWLER CIVIL CONTRACTING MDN PLATENext Race 13:42 IPSWICH - R1 - GREAT NORTHERN MAIDEN PLATENext Race 13:50 FLEMINGTON - R3 - GOOD FRIDAY APPEAL TROPHY (BM80)Next Race 13:58 PUKEKOHE - R7 - TRACKSIDE.CO.NZ MAIDENNext Race 14:06 GAWLER - R2 - SANDERS FODDER MAIDEN PLATENext Race 14:10 HAWKESBURY - R3 - BELLE PROPERTY HAWKESBURY MDN PLATENext Race 14:22 IPSWICH - R2 - SCHWEPPES MAIDEN PLATENext Race 14:30 FLEMINGTON - R4 - INGLIS BRACELETNext Race 14:38 PUKEKOHE - R8 - BARFOOT & THOMPSON HANDICAP (60)Next Race 14:45 GAWLER - R3 - SPORTSBET NOBODY DOES IT EASIER MDN PLATENext Race 14:50 HAWKESBURY - R4 - ALL ASPECTS ROOFING (BM68)Next Race 15:02 IPSWICH - R3 - IMPERIAL RACING MAIDEN PLATENext Race 15:10 FLEMINGTON - R5 - OFF THE TRACK PLATE (BM90)Next Race 15:18 PUKEKOHE - R9 - STELLA ARTOIS MAIDENNext Race 15:25 GAWLER - R4 - CONTRACT ENGINEERING HANDICAP (56)Next Race 15:30 HAWKESBURY - R5 - BLAKES MARINE MAIDEN HANDICAPNext Race 15:42 IPSWICH - R4 - RIVER 94.9FM MAIDEN HANDICAPNext Race 15:50 FLEMINGTON - R6 - MELBOURNE CUP CARNIVAL COUNTRY FINAL (BM80)Next Race 15:58 PUKEKOHE - R10 - AUCKLAND CO-OP TAXIS MAIDENNext Race 16:05 GAWLER - R5 - PAXTON STREET STORAGE HANDICAP (56)Next Race 16:10 HAWKESBURY - R6 - IRRESISTIBLE POOLS & SPAS (BM64)Next Race 16:22 IPSWICH - R5 - SPRING RACES 16 NOVEMBER (BM60)Next Race 16:30 FLEMINGTON - R7 - 3AW RED ROSES STAKES (G3)Next Race 16:38 NORTHAM - R1 - AVON VALLEY TOYOTA MAIDENNext Race 16:45 GAWLER - R6 - GAWLER ARMS HOTEL (BM56)Next Race 16:50 HAWKESBURY - R7 - LANDER TOYOTA LADIES DAY CUP (LR)Next Race 17:02 IPSWICH - R6 - TAB HANDICAP (62)Next Race 17:10 FLEMINGTON - R8 - CROWN OAKS (G1)Next Race 17:18 NORTHAM - R2 - XXXX MAIDENNext Race 17:25 GAWLER - R7 - RAY WHITE - BAROSSA VALLEY TWO WELLS HCP (56)Next Race 17:30 HAWKESBURY - R8 - RICHMOND CLUB MIDWAY (BM64)Next Race 17:42 IPSWICH - R7 - BARRIER REEF POOLS HANDICAP (C4)Next Race 17:50 FLEMINGTON - R9 - CHANNEL 9 CHESTER MANIFOLD STAKES (LR)Next Race 17:58 NORTHAM - R3 - TRIPLE M NORTHAM MAIDENNext Race 18:22 IPSWICH - R8 - RAY WHITE IPSWICH HANDICAP (C1)Next Race 18:37 NORTHAM - R4 - TABTOUCH BETTER YOUR BET MAIDENNext Race 19:13 NORTHAM - R5 - THANK YOU FOR BEING TRACKSIDE WITH US MDNNext Race 19:49 NORTHAM - R6 - RACING RESUMES 11 MAY 2025 HCP (C5)Next Race 20:25 NORTHAM - R7 - AND THAT'S A WRAP HANDICAP (C3)

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Wizard Daily Report and Research

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Melbourne Cup - How the favourites have fared

Wizard Daily Report Sunday, 3 November 2024

  * Melbourne Cup - How the favourites have fared
  * Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Quick Form Report for Muswellbrook
  * Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Saturday November 2

Melbourne Cup - How the favourites have fared

(Note: The full coverage (ratings, form, comments, stats, etc) for the Melbourne Cup meeting on Tuesday will be available later this afternoon.)

Given the hype usually accompanying the favourite in the Melbourne Cup, I thought it might be interesting to look at how the favourites have performed in more recent years.

The table below shows this for each year since 2010. Of the 15 favourites, or equal favourites, there has been only one winner (Fiorente in 2013) and three minor placings. The table is pretty self-explanatory. The race result details for the Cup run are on the left-hand side, and then to the right of the jockey and trainer names you will find details of each horses lead in race.

Lead

Race

Year

Horse

Fin

Marg

Odds

Jockey

Trainer

Dist

Days

Loc

Fin

Marg

Group

Race name

2023

Vauban

14th

13.5L

4/1 4/1 9/2

Ryan Moore

Willie Mullins

2414m

IRE

won

1.5L

Group3

Ballyroan Stakes

2022

Deauville Legend

4th

13/4 7/2 7/2

Kerrin McEvoy

James Ferguson

2385m

won

2.8L

3YO-G2

Great Voltiguer

2021

Incentivise

2nd

15/8 7/4 15/8

Brett Prebble

Peter Moody

2400m

AUS

won

3.5L

Group1

Caulfield Cup

2020

Surprise Baby

13th

8.8L

6/1 13/2 5/1

Craig Williams

Paul Preusker

2000m

AUS

9th

2.4L

SWP-G1

Turnbull Stakes

2019

Finche

7th

1.4L

7/1 7/1 7/1

Kerrin McEvoy

Chris Waller

2400m

AUS

5th

1.6L

Group1

Caulfield Cup

2018

Yucatan

11th

11.5L

11/2 6/1 5/1

James McDonald

Aidan O'Brien

2400m

AUS

won

1.3L

Group2

Herbert Power

2017

Marmelo

9th

9.9L

7/1 7/1 6/1

Hugh Bowman

Hughie Morrison

2400m

AUS

6th

2.8L

Group1

Caulfield Cup

2017

Almandin

12th

11.5L

8/1 8/1 6/1

Frankie Dettori

Robert Hickmott

2500m

AUS

4th

3.4L

Group3

Bart Cummings

2016

Hartnell

3rd

4.5L

9/2 5/1 9/2

James McDonald

John O'Shea

2040m

AUS

2nd

WFA-G1

Cox Plate

2015

Fame Game

13th

5.7L

4/1 7/2 4/1

Zac Purton

Yosh Munakata

2400m

AUS

6th

Group1

Caulfield Cup

2014

Admire Rakti

22nd

72L

5/1 5/1 9/2

Zac Purton

Tomoyuki Umeda

2400m

AUS

won

0.4L

Group1

Caulfield Cup

2013

Fiorente

won

0.8L

13/2 13/2 6/1

Damien Oliver

Gai Waterhouse

2040m

AUS

3rd

0.5L

WFA-G1

Cox Plate

2012

Dunaden

14th

10L

6/1 6/1 6/1

Craig Williams

Mikel Delzangles

2400m

AUS

won

0.5L

Group1

Caulfield Cup

2011

Americain

4th

1.5L

4/1 9/2 4/1

Gerald Mosse

Alain de Royer Dupre

2500m

AUS

won

2.3L

Group2

MV Drake Int Cup

2010

So You Think

3rd

3.3L

2/1 2/1 2/1

Steve Arnold

Bart Cummings

2000m

AUS

won

3.7L

WFA-G1

Mackinnon Stakes

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Quick Form Report for Muswellbrook

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard Plus reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Quick Form Report for Muswellbrook. Both the full and abridged Wizard reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

Wizard Ratings Results for Saturday, November 2

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.

Sat 02.11.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Race 9	Race 10	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
ASCOT	g4	- - - - -	- - - 3. -	2 - - - -	- - 3 - -	2 2 - - -	- - - - -	1 1 1. - 1	1 3 2 - 1	- - - - -		2 1 1. 0 2	4 2 2. 0 0
BEAUDESERT	g4	- - 3 2. -	- - - 2. -	- - 2 2 -	2 1 3 1 -	1 1 3 - 1	- 3 - - -					1 2 0 1 1	2 2 1 4. 0
COFFS HARBOUR	s5s7	2 1 - 3 1	- 3 - - -	- - - - -	- - 3 3 -	- - - - -	- - - - -					0 1 0 0 1	1 1 0 0 0
DUBBO	g4	1 3 3 - -	- 3 - 3. -	1 1 1 - 1	2 2 - 3. -	- - - - -	1 1 - - 1	1 1 2. - 1				4 3 1 0 3	5 4 2. 0 0
EAGLE FARM	g4	- - 3. 3. -	2 1 - - -	3 2 - - -	- - - - -	- - - - -	2 3 1. 1. -	3 - - - -	- - - - 0	- - 3. 3. -		0 1 1. 1. -	2 2 1. 1. 0
FLEMINGTON	g4g3	2 1 2 2 -	- - 1. 2 -	- 2 - - -	2 1 - - -	2 1 2. 3. -	- - - - -	- - 2. 2 -	1 3 2 1 1	- - - - -		1 3 1. 1 1	4 4 5. 4 0
GOLD COAST	s5	- - 3 1 -	1 3 - - 1	- - 2 - -	1 2 - - 1	3 2 2. 1 -	2 - - 3 0	- - - 1 -				2 0 0 3 2	3 2 2. 3 0
KALGOORLIE	g4	2 2 2 2. -	3 3 - 1 -	- 2 - 1. -	3 - - - -	3 - 2. - -	- - - - -					0 0 0 2. -	1 2 2. 3. 0
MORPHETTVILLE	g4g3	1 1 3. - 1	2 3 - - -	3 - - 2. -	3 - - 2 -	- - - - -	1 3 1 1. 1	2 3 1 1 1	3 2 - - -	- - 3. 3 -		2 1 2 2. 3	4 2 2 4. 0
MORTLAKE	s5	3 - 1 - -	2 - 1 2 1	- - - - -	2 - 1. 3. -	1 1 2 - 1	- - - - -	- - - 3 -	3 - 2. - -			1 1 3. 0 2	3 1 5. 1 0
NEWCASTLE	s7s6	- - - - -	1 - 1. - -	- 3 2. 2. -	2 1 2. 2. -	- - - - -	1 1 2. - 1	2 3 1. 3 1	1 1 1 2. 1			3 3 3. 0 3	5 3 6. 3. 0
PIONEER PARK	g	- - - - -	- - - - -	- 3 - 3 -	2 1 2 - 1	1 1 1 2 1	1 2 3. - 1					2 2 1 0 3	3 3 2 1 0
ROSEHILL	g4s5	- 2 - 1 -	- - - - -	- 3 - - -	1 1 - 3. 1	- - - - -	- - 2. - -	1 1 1 2. 1	- - - - -	- - - - -	- - - - -	2 2 1 1 2	2 3 2. 2. 0
TOOWOOMBA	g4g3	1 - 3 2. -	1 1 1. - -	3 - - 1 -	1 1 2. - 1	- - - - -	1 1 3. - 1	2 1 1 2 1				4 4 2. 1 3	5 4 3. 3. 0
TRARALGON	g4	1 2 - - 1	3 1 - - -	3 2 2. 3. -	2 - - - -	- 3 - 3 -	3 1 3 2 -	- 3 - 1. -	1 1 1. 1 -			2 3 1. 2. 1	3 5 2. 3. 0
WYCHEPROOF	g4	- 2 2. 3 -	3 - 3 - -	3 2 - 2. -	2 2 - - -	- 3 1. - -	3 - - 3. -	- - - - -				0 0 1. 0 -	1 3 2. 1. 0
												Wrat 26 122	Wrat 48 122
												21.30%	39.30%
												Rday 27 120	Rday no qual
												22.50%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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Wizard Ratings Report - Last week - Last Month - Last Year

Wizard Daily Report Monday, 4 November 2024

    * Wizard Ratings Report - Last week - Last Month- Last Year
    * Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report for Ballarat
    * Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for week ending November 4

Wizard Ratings Report - Last week - Last Month - Last Year

Today we report on how the original Wizard rating (Wrat) has performed over three time periods and report on the very significant results achieved by the new Wizard Raceday Report, which also selects one runner in each race. (Raceday brings into play each of the Wizards four rating options and early betting market action).

First, lets compare the results achieved by Wrat and Raceday since the latter was made available to subscribers in late August of this year.
Over these past 10 weeks the Wrat strike rate has been right in the middle of its expected range at 26.0%. (Year on year Wrat has delivered a win strike rate between 25% and 27% of the 17,000 races Wizard rates annually.)

In this same period, the Raceday qualifier has delivered a win strike rate of 30.5%, which is a 17.3% improvement over the basic Wrat assessment.

The full head-to-head results for the past ten weeks:

week ending 4/11/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	31.3%	26.1%	22.7%	29.7%	21.3%	21.3%	18.2%	22.8%
Raceday - one qualifier	33.3%	27.3%	39.5%	37.1%	31.8%	22.5%	28.2%	29.1%

week ending 27/10/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	36.4%	22.6%	15.8%	43.3%	15.9%	25.9%	25.4%	25.1%
Raceday - one qualifier	33.3%	25.0%	21.1%	38.5%	25.9%	27.8%	33.9%	28.8%

week ending 20/10/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	33.0%	23.5%	23.1%	18.8%	28.6%	19.7%	39.1%	24.9%
Raceday - one qualifier	40.0%	26.7%	22.2%	26.7%	36.2%	22.9%	44.4%	29.2%

week ending 13/10/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	22.0%	30.4%	36.1%	44.7%	28.6%	24.3%	30.6%	29.5%
Raceday - one qualifier	25.0%	36.4%	35.3%	44.4%	37.0%	33.3%	25.5%	33.7%

week ending 6/10/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	16.1%	48.5%	13.5%	25.0%	27.5%	25.0%	26.7%	25.8%
Raceday - one qualifier	31.0%	36.4%	20.0%	25.0%	22.9%	26.5%	28.6%	26.8%

week ending 29/09/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	30.0%	48.3%	22.2%	36.7%	8.5%	24.7%	32.8%	27.4%
Raceday - one qualifier	38.5%	40.7%	29.4%	28.6%	25.0%	27.1%	37.9%	31.7%

week ending 22/09/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	18.2%	8.0%	23.7%	23.1%	41.0%	29.6%	22.2%	25.6%
Raceday - one qualifier	18.2%	16.7%	31.6%	24.0%	38.2%	33.0%	31.9%	30.0%

week ending 15/09/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	50.0%	33.5%	32.0%	33.3%	27.3%	20.2%	25.8%	28.1%
Raceday - one qualifier	50.0%	29.0%	27.1%	36.4%	37.9%	25.0%	na	30.5%

week ending 8/09/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	12.5%	36.4%	20.0%	22.0%	15.6%	29.8%	25.6%	24.7%
Raceday - one qualifier	12.5%	40.0%	28.9%	35.9%	20.0%	31.5%	42.5%	31.6%

week ending 1/09/24	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat top rated	33.0%	22.0%	28.2%	19.4%	25.6%	26.2%	29.3%	26.4%
Raceday - one qualifier	42.0%	30.8%	30.8%	37.9%	34.3%	32.6%	37.0%	34.3%

We are so pleased with the success of the Raceday qualifier that this horse is to be highlighted in Wizard's new Magic Report when it also qualifies under the Magic criteria. This innovation should ensure final selection-making is streamlined as much as possible.

Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Raceday Report.

Now, to provide an overview of how Wrat has performed short-term and long-term the following table is presented with a weekly, monthly, and yearly timeframe.

Wrat - Last week	Results	Win %	Wrat - October 2024	Results	Win %	Wrat 1/11/23 to 3/11/24	Results	Win %
Winner	76 - 331	23.0%	Winner	384 - 1436	26.7%	Winner	4405 - 17104	25.8%
Winner in top 2	135 -331	40.8%	Winner in top 2	624 - 1436	43.5%	Winner in top 2	7273 - 17104	42.5%
Winner in top 4	234 - 331	70.7%	Winner in top 4	1018 - 1436	70.9%	Winner in top 4	11592 - 17104	67.8%
Quinella top 2	44 - 331	13.3%	Quinella top 2	156 - 1432	10.9%	Quinella top 2	1818 - 17066	10.7%
Quinella box 4	151 - 331	45.6%	Quinella box 4	608 - 1432	42.5%	Quinella box 4	6775 - 17066	39.7%
Exacta top 2	22 - 331	6.6%	Exacta top 2	90 - 1432	6.3%	Exacta top 2	971 - 17066	5.7%
Trifecta in order	12 - 330	3.6%	Trifecta in order	22 - 1430	1.5%	Trifecta in order	294 - 17006	1.7%
Trifecta box top 3	29 - 330	8.8%	Trifecta box top 3	98 - 1430	6.9%	Trifecta box top 3	1244 - 17006	7.3%
Trifecta box top 4	79 - 330	23.9%	Trifecta box top 4	279 - 1430	19.5%	Trifecta box top 4	3329 - 17006	19.6%

Again, the consistency of Wrat is self-evident. This proven ratings methodology is a really reliable tool for win or place betting, and all types of multiple/exotic betting.

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report for Ballarat

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof, and today the Wizard Freebie is Wizard Essentials Wrat4 report for Ballarat. All Wizard reports for this and the other meetings run today are now available to subscribers.

Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Essentials report.

Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for week ending November 3

For last week the daily and weekly results were:

	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun	Week
Wrat one top rated	31.3%	26.1%	22.7%	29.7%	21.3%	21.3%	18.2%	22.8%
Wrat top-two rated	43.8%	43.5%	36.4%	48.6%	40.4%	39.3%	38.6%	40.5%
Raceday - one qualifier	33.3%	27.3%	39.5%	37.1%	31.8%	22.5%	28.2%	29.1%

A few of the more notable double-figure winners last week that were top rated on Wmod, Whcp, Wexpk and/or top-rated (Wrat-1) or rated second top (Wrat-2):

Course	Date	Race	Tab	Horse	TAB Win	Rating
TRARALGON	2/11/2024	8	15	The Wizard King	16.20	WRat-1 & WMod & WHcp & WExPk
NARACOORTE	3/11/2024	6	2	Marcolt	12.20	WRat-2

Course	Date	Race	Tab	Horse	TAB Win	Rating
TRARALGON	2/11/2024	8	15	The Wizard King	16.20	WMod & WRat-1 & WHcp & WExPk

Course	Date	Race	Tab	Horse	TAB Win	Rating
TRARALGON	2/11/2024	8	15	The Wizard King	16.20	WHcp & WRat-1 & WMod & WExPk

Course	Date	Race	Tab	Horse	TAB Win	Rating
TRARALGON	2/11/2024	8	15	The Wizard King	16.20	WExpk & WRat-1 & WMod & WHcp
NOWRA	3/11/2024	5	9	Khaleej	15.80	WExpk
LAUNCESTON	30/10/2024	6	4	Geegee Jet By	14.20	WExpk

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk and in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat winners include the top rated and second top-rated winners.) The Raceday reported winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there is always only the one Raceday qualifier.

Sun 03.11.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Race 9	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
INNISFAIL	g3	- 3 3. - -	1 1 3. 1. 1	2 - 2. - -	- 3 2. 3. -	- - - 1 -	- - 1. - 1	- 2 1. 2 1	- 3 2 3. 0		1 1 2. 2. 3	2 2 5. 3. 0
MORNINGTON	g4	- - - - -	3 - 3 3 -	1 2 2 2 1	1 1 1 2 1	2 3 2 - -	3 3 2 - -	- - 2 - -	- - - 2 -	3 3 - - -	2 1 1 0 2	3 2 5 3 0
MUSWELLBROOK	g4g3	3 3 2 - -	1 1 3 - 1	- - - - -	3 2 - - -	2 2 2 1 -	- 3 - - -	1 1 - - 1			2 2 0 1 2	3 4 2 1 0
NARACOORTE	g4g3	2 2 1. - -	2 3 3 - 0	- 2 3. 2 -	2 2 - - -	2 2 3 - -	2 - - - -	3 - - - -	- - - 1 -		0 0 1. 1 -	5 4 1. 2 0
NARROGIN	g3	- - - - 0	1 1 1 2 1	- 2 - - -	- - 2 - -	- - - - -	3 - 1 1 0				1 1 2 1 1	1 2 3 2 0
NOWRA	s5	2 1 - - 1	1 1 1. - 1	1 1 1 2 1	3 3. 1. - -	- - - 1 -	- - - - 0				2 3 3. 1 3	3 3 3. 2 0
											Wrat 8 44	Wrat 17 44
											18.20%	38.60%
											Rday 11 39	Rday no qual
											28.20%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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New Wizard Report coming this week - Wrat4 & Assessed Odds Report

Wizard Daily Report Tuesday, 5 November 2024

     * New Wizard Report coming this week - Wrat4 & Assessed Odds Report
     * Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Magic Report for Swan Hill
     * Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for Monday, November 4

New Wizard Report coming this week - Wrat4 & Assessed Odds Report

Last Friday in this Wizard Daily Report, in the context of the Wizard Essentials Report, I noted that historically the Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners win some 70% of all races run.

Subscriber feedback about that article confirmed that Wizard users are indeed making very good use of this fact, and currently use the Essentials Report to home in on those Wrat4 runners and their Wizard assessed odds and early market odds.

As one of the main aims of the Wizard is to provide genuinely useful pre-race reports that aid the selection-making process I will be releasing a new report later this week that focuses specifically on the top four Wrat runners (after scratchings) and provides a direct comparison between Wizard assessed odds and the race morning odds for those runners.

Below is an example of the coming Wrat4-AOdds report, showing the meetings from yesterday at Ballina and Ballarat.

Yesterday was another very good day for the Wrat4 runners with 6 from 7 races at Ballina, 6 from 8 at Ballarat, and 5 from 6 at Corowa. Again, these results confirm what I have been discussing over many months: provincial and country racing is a great source of winners, and Wizard is a great tool for finding them.

I will have more to say about this new Wizard Wrat4-AOdds report when it is released.

The feedback we receive from subscribers confirms my belief that punters approach their selecting and betting from many different angles and have different information requirements. The Wizard aims to meet these many demands and that is why Wizard provides a range of customised pre-race reports.

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Magic Report for Canberra

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof, and today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Magic Report for Canberra. The full range of Wizard reports for all meetings are now available to subscribers.

Click here for an explanation of the Wizard Magic report.

Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for Monday, November 4

Mon 04.11.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
BALLARAT	g4	3 1 3 - -	3 2 1 2 1	- - - - -	1 2 1 3 0	- - - 3 -	- 2 - - -	2 2 3. - -	1 1 - - 1	2 2 2 0 2	3 6 2 1 0
BALLINA	s5	1 1 1. 1 1	1 1 - 3 -	1 1 2. 2 1	- - - 2 -	3 1 3 - 1	2 1 - 2 1	1 1 3 1 1		4 6 1. 2 5	5 6 2. 5 0
COROWA	g4	2 3 1 1 -	1 1 3 3. 1	3 2 3 - -	- 3 - - -	2 2 1 - -	- - - 2 0			1 1 2 1 1	3 3 2 2 0
										Wrat 7 21	Wrat 11 21
										33.30%	52.40%
										Rday 8 19	Rday no qual
										42.10%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Personal Print for Grafton

Wizard Daily Report Wednesday, 6 November 2024

* Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Personal Print for Grafton
* Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Tuesday, November 5

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Personal Print for Grafton

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard Plus reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Personal Print for Grafton. All reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

Wizard Ratings Results for Tuesday, November 5

Tue 05.11.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Race 9	Race 10	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
ASCOT	g4	- - 2 - -	- - - 3. -	- - 2 - -	3 - 2. 3. -	3 2 1 1 -	- 2 - - -	- - 3 - -	- - - - -	- - - - 0		0 0 1 1 -	0 2 4. 1 0
BUNBURY	g4	- - - - -	1 1 2. - 1	1 1 2 - 1	2 3 1. - 1	3 - 2. 3. 0	3 2 3 - 0	- - - - -				2 2 1. 0 3	3 3 4. 0 0
CANBERRA	g4	3 - 1 2 -	- - - - -	1 3 - 2 1	- - - - -	1 2 1 - 1	3 2 1. - -	- - - - -				2 0 3. 0 2	2 2 3. 2 0
DARWIN	g	- 3 - - -	3 3 3 3 -	- - - - -	- 2 2 - -	3 3 3 3. -	- - - 2 -					0 0 0 0 -	0 1 1 1 0
EAGLE FARM	g4g3	3 2 2 3 -	1 1 2. 1 1	1 1 2 2 1	1 1 3 - 0	- - - - -	2 - 2. 1. -	3 - - 3 -	1 2 1. 3 -	1 1 3 - 1		5 4 1. 2. 3	6 6 5. 3. 0
ECHUCA	g4g3	3 2 - 2 -	- 2 3. - 0	2 1 - 1 1	3 - 1. - -	1 1 - - -	- 3 2 - -	- - - - -				1 2 1. 1 1	2 4 2. 2 0
FLEMINGTON	g4g3	- - - - -	1 2 1 2 1	1 2 1 2 1	- - - - 0	- - - - -	2 1 3. - -	- - - - -	- - - - -	- 3 1 - -	- - - 1 -	2 1 3 1 2	3 3 3 3 0
GERALDTON	g4	1 1 1 2 1	3 2 - - -	2 2 - 2. -	1 2 - 3 1	3 2 3 - -	- 3 3 - -	2 - - - -				2 1 1 0 2	4 5 1 2. 0
GOLD COAST POLY	aw	2 3 1 - -	- - - - -	2 3 2. 1. -	2 - - - -	1 1 1 1 1	- 2 1. 3. -					1 1 3. 2. 1	4 2 4. 2. 0
HOBART	s5g3	- - - - -	3 - - - -	3 - 1 - -	2 1 - 3 0	- - - - -	2 1 2. - 1	- 3 - - -				0 2 1 0 1	2 2 2. 0 0
KEMBLA GRANGE	g4	2 1 1. 2 1	2 3 1 2. -	3 - - 1 1	1 2 - - 0	- - - - -	2 - - - -	- - - 1 -	1 1 - - 1	3 - 2 2 -		2 2 2. 2 3	5 3 3. 5. 0
MORPHETTVILLE	g4	2 3 2 1 1	2 - 3. - -	- - 2. 1 -	- - 1. 1 -	1 1 2. - 1	1 1 - 1 1	- - - 1 -	- - - - -	- - - - -		2 2 1. 5 3	4 2 4. 5 0
MUSWELLBROOK	g4	- - - - -	1 3 - - -	- - - - -	1 2 1 1 0	1 1 1 - 1	1 1 1 - 1	1 1 3 1. 1				5 3 3 2. 3	5 4 3 2. 0
RANDWICK	g4	1 1 3. - 1	2 - - - -	2 2. 1 3. -	- 1 - - 1	2 1 - - 1	1 1 2 3. 1	1 1 - - 1	- - - - -	2 2 3 - -	- - - - -	3 5 1 0 5	7 7. 2 0 0
SUNSHINE COAST	g4	3 - 3. - -	- 3 3 - -	1 2 - - 1	- - - - -	3 3 3. - -	- - 3. - -	- - - - -				1 0 0 0 1	1 1 0 0 0
WANGARATTA	g4	- 3 - 2 0	1 1 1 3 1	- - - 2 0	- 3 - - -	2 2 - 3. -	- - - - -					1 1 1 0 1	2 2 1 2 0
												Wrat 29 123	Wrat 50 123
												23.60%	40.70%
												Rday 31 112	Rday no qual
												27.70%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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New Wizard Report - Wrat4 & Assessed Odds Report (NEW)

Wizard Daily Report - Thursday, 7 November 2024

* New Wizard Report - Wrat4 & Assessed Odds Report (NEW)
* Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Wrat4-AOdds Report
* Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Wednesday October 30

New Wizard Report - Wrat4 & Assessed Odds Report

Historically the Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners win some 70% of all races run. The results yesterday again confirm this fact. Across the three meetings (Grafton, Kyneton, and Port Lincoln) there were 18 winners in the 25 races rated in the Wrat top 4.

As noted previously subscriber feedback shows that Wizard users do make very good use of this fact, and currently use the Essentials Report to home in on those Wrat4 runners and their Wizard assessed odds and early market odds.

As one of the main aims of the Wizard is to provide genuinely useful pre-race reports that aid the selection-making process we have today released a new Wizard report.

The purpose of the Wrat4-AOdds report is to focus on the top 4 Wrat runners and their Wizard assessed odds. In addition, the early race-morning pre-post odds (adjusted to 120%) are included so that a user has an indication as to likely price advantage or disadvantage that might occur later in the day.

By focusing on these favoured runners, Wizard further streamlines the selection-making process for win and place bettors, as well as those who prefer quinella, trifecta, first-four, quadrella, and other forms of exotic betting.

The Wrat4-AOdds report is posted twice daily on the everyrace website.

The first posting on the everyrace website is around 8:30am when eastern state scratchings have been processed. The second posting occurs just after 11:00am when scratchings for the remainder of the country should have been received and processed.

(Note: The second edition of the Wrat4-AOdds report will also update the first edition to account for any late scratchings that might have been notified between 8:15am and 10:30am.)
The Wrat4-AOdds report can be accessed via the Raceday button on the home page or via the Quick Links to Purchase Content panel on the right hand side of the home page.

An example showing two race meetings is the Wizard Freebie for today.

In coming days I will have more to say about the Wrat4-AOdds Report and possible ways to get the most out of it, covering both selection and wagering aspects.

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Wrat4-Aodds Report

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard Plus reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Freebie an extract from the Wizard Wrat4-AOdds Report covering Ipswich and Gawler. The full report and all other reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

Content Explanation:

Race header: Track name, weather and track condition, race number, class/type of race, and distance.
Tab: Tab/racebook number
Horse name: Name of the runner
Wrat Rk: Ranking number based on the Wizard Wrat, with (1) being the top rated 100 pointer, (2) being the second top-rated, and so on.
AOdds: Wizard assessed odds with its market set to a maximum of 100%.
AOdds%: The Wizard assessed odds expressed as a percentage (chance of success). For example, a horse assessed at $4.00 would have a corresponding 25% chance of winning.
EOddsAM: The (average) early odds offered by wagering operators, adjusted to a full market percentage of 120%.
EOddsAM%: The wagering operators average odds expressed as a percentage. For example, a horse priced by them at $7.00 would have a corresponding 14.3% chance of winning.
Avg%: The total of the percentage chances as assessed by the Wrat and the Early Odds, divided by two; that is, the average pre-race assessment.

(The Wrat4-AOdds report can be accessed via the Raceday button on the home page.)

Wizard Ratings Results for Wednesday, October 30

Wed 06.11.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Race 9	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
GRAFTON	s5g3	2 2 - 1 -	- - - - -	2 2 3 3. -	- 2 - - -	1 1 - - 1	- - 1. - -	- 2 - - -	1 3 3. 3. 1		2 1 1. 1 2	4 5 1. 1 0
KYNETON	s5g3	2 2 - - -	- - - - 0	1 1 3 - 1	3 - - - -	2 - - - -	3 3 2 - -	3 - 1. - 1	- - - 3. -	1 1 2 - 1	2 2 1. 0 3	4 3 3. 0 0
PORT LINCOLN	g4	1 1 1 1. 1	1 1 1 - 1	3 - - - -	- - - 1 -	- - 3 - -	2 1 1 2. 1	1 1 1 - 1	- - 2. - -		3 4 4 2. 4	4 4 5. 3. 0
											Wrat 7 25	Wrat 12 25
											28.00%	48.00%
											Rday 9 24	Rday no qual
											37.50%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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Melbourne Cup schedule - Using Wizard Essentials Reports: Fining down the field.

Wizard Daily Report Friday, 1 November 2024

Melbourne Cup schedule
Using Wizard Reports - Wizard Essentials: Fining down the field.
Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report for Wagga
Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Thursday October 31

Melbourne Cup

The full coverage (ratings, form, comments, stats, etc) for the Melbourne Cup meeting on Tuesday will be available on Sunday afternoon, around the same time we produce the normal Monday Wizard files.

As part of this coverage there will be a Wizard Daily Report on Melbourne Cup favourites, also made available on Sunday.

Using Wizard Reports - Wizard Essentials: Fining down the field.

One of the most discussed topics among race handicappers is the need to fine down a field to the main chances so that (form-analysis) attention can be focused on those runners with the best chance of success.

The Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report is specifically designed to help in this regard.

Historically, the Wizards top 4 rated runners (the Wrat rating) win some 70% of all races run. The winners not included in the top 4 Wrat are most likely to be first time starters, horses in the market but not rating on current form, and horses at long odds that simply do not have acceptable revealed form.

The stats contained in the Essentials single data line is a great starting point to evaluate their chances.

By focusing on a limited number of runners in what you consider to be the beatable and bettable races you give yourself time to delve deeper into the form history of these four main chances using the great interactive form-analysis tools offered by Wizard:

Speed Maps
Form History Performance Graphs
Sortable career history
Colour coded form history
Trainer and Jockey performance
Etc etc etc

Wizard Essentials Wrat4 can be a great time saver and a genuinely valuable tool in your form-analysis toolkit.

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials (Wrat4) Report Wagga

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Essentials (Wrat4) Report for Wagga. The full and abridged Wizard reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

Wizard Ratings Results for Thursday, October 31

Thu 31.10.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
KILCOY	g4	1 1 2 1 1	- 2 3 - -	- - 2 - 0	3 - - 2 -	- 3 - - -	- - - - -	- 3 2. 3 -		1 1 0 1 1	1 2 3. 2 0
NORTHAM	s5g4	- 3. 3 - -	1 1 2 1 1	- - 2 3. -	- - - - -	1 - 1 1. 1	- - 3 - -	2 - 1 2. -		2 1 2 2. 2	3 1 4 3. 0
SAPPHIRE COAST	g4	1 1 1 1 1	- - - - 0	2 - 1 3 -	- 2 - - -	1 1 - - 1	- - - - -	1 - - 2 -		3 2 2 1 2	4 3 2 2 0
WARRNAMBOOL	g4	1 1 1 1. 1	1 1 2. 2. 1	2 2 2 1 1	2 1 - 1 1	2 - 1 2. -	1 2 1 - 1	3 2 - - -	- - 3 3. -	3 3 3 3. 5	6 6 5. 5. 0
WYONG	g4g3	- - - - -	3 3 - 3 -	1 2 3 3. 1	2 1 - - 1	- 2 3 - -	1 1 - - 1	2 1 3. - -	3 - 3 3. -	2 3 0 0 3	4 5 0 0 0
										Wrat 11 37	Wrat 18 37
										29.70%	48.60%
										Rday 13 35	Rday no qual
										37.10%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 for Ascot

Wizard Daily Report Saturday, 2 November 2024

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 for Ascot
Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Friday November 1

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 for Ascot

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard Plus reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report for Ascot. All Wizard reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

Click here for a full explanation of Wizard Essentials Report.

Using Wizard Reports - Wizard Essentials: Fining down the field.

The Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report is specifically designed to help in this regard.

The stats contained in the Essentials single data line is a great starting point to evaluate their chances.

By focusing on a limited number of runners in what you consider to be the beatable and bettable races you give yourself time to delve deeper into the form history of these four main chances using the great interactive form-analysis tools offered by Wizard:

Speed Maps
Form History Performance Graphs
Sortable career history
Colour coded form history
Trainer and Jockey performance
Etc etc etc

Wizard Essentials Wrat4 can be a great time saver and a genuinely valuable tool in your form-analysis toolkit.

Wizard Ratings Results for Friday, November 1

Fri 01.11.24		Race 1	Race 2	Race 3	Race 4	Race 5	Race 6	Race 7	Race 8	Top rated	Top 2 rated
	SOT	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER	WMHER
IPSWICH	g4	2 1 2 1 1	3 1 1 - -	- - - - -	- - - 2 -	3 3 - 3. -	2 1 - 2 1	1 3 2 2 1		1 3 1 1 3	3 3 3 4 0
KILMORE	g4g3	1 2 - 1 -	- - - - 0	2 1 1 2 1	1 1 1 2 1	1 2 2. 1 1	3 2 3 - -	3 2 - - 0	- 2. - - -	3 2 2 2 3	4 7. 3. 4 0
LAUNCESTON	s5g4	- - - - -	1 2 1 2 1	2 - 2 1 -	3 2 1 2. -	1 2 1 3 1	- 3 3. 1 -	- 3 - - -	2 1 - - 1	2 1 3 2 3	4 4 4 4. 0
MOONEE VALLEY	g4g3	3 - 2 1 -	- - - - -	- - - - 0	2 - - 3. -	- - - - -	1 2 2 - 1	- - - 3 -	- - - - -	1 0 0 1 1	2 1 2 1 0
MOREE	g4g3	1 1 3 1 -	- - 3 1 -	1 2 - - -	2 3 1 2 -	- - 3. 1 -	- - - 2 -	2 1 3 - 1	2 - 1 - 1	2 2 2 3 2	5 3 2 5 0
WAGGA	g4g3	- - - - -	3 - 3 - -	- 3 - 1 -	- - 3. - -	3 - 1 1 1	3 - - - -	3 - - - -	1 1 2. - 1	1 1 1 2 2	1 1 2. 2 0
										Wrat 10 47	Wrat 19 47
										21.30%	40.40%
										Rday 14 44	Rday no qual
										31.80%

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R)

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Everyrace Website

Welcome to everyrace.com, the official website for the Wizard Formguide, Superform magazine and Online Handicapping.

The Wizard provides an in-depth, comprehensive coverage (ratings, statistics, reports, and detailed race form) for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

As well as the Wizard ratings, statistics, reports and detailed form, Wizard users can access the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and Wizard Systems.

Superform subscribers receive the weekly Superform magazine (results for all meetings in Australia and New Zealand), the daily Superfax selections service, the Saturday Morning Mail service, and access to the Superform Daily handicapping system.

The Wizard is an online formguide available every day from this website. It provides form and ratings for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

The formguide is supplied as downloadable and printable PDF files. Buying the Wizard also gives you access to the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and the ability to generate individualised Wizard Systems.

Wizard

The Wizard is an online formguide available every day from this website. It provides form and ratings for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

The formguide is supplied as downloadable and printable PDF files. Buying the Wizard also gives you access to the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and the Wizard Systems.

You also have access to the Wizard Race Fields, incredibly detailed form history and statistical content live on our site (which is also optimised for mobiles)

More Information

07/11/2024 : FLEMINGTON(s)

GAWLER(s)

HAWKESBURY(s)

IPSWICH(s)

NORTHAM(s)

PUKEKOHE(s)

08/11/2024 : ALBURY

HAMILTON

KEMPSEY

PAKENHAM

ROCKHAMPTON

09/11/2024 : ASCOT

DOOMBEN

FLEMINGTON

GEELONG(nr)

GOULBURN(nr)

HOBART(nr)

MORPHETTVILLE PARKS

PIONEER PARK(nr)

RICCARTON(nr)

ROSEHILL

TE RAPA(nr)

TOOWOOMBA(nr)

WYONG(nr)

Meetings being covered by the Wizard
(s) indicates that scratchings have been processed.
(nr) indicates early fields and form without any ratings.

Superform

For decades, Superform has been Australia's premier ratings, results, form analysis and race handicapping service.

More Information